2015 might bring an end to the great age of experts’ experiments on us
Summary: Beam us down to Earth on 31 December 2015. What will we find? My guess is that the massive experiments now underway by experts will have borne fruit, and we’ll know if they were sweet or...
View ArticleUpdating the recession watch; & what might the government do to fight a...
Summary: The economic data continues to darken. Let’s review the situation — updating the recession watch — and guessing what might be the government’s response to a recession. It’s an era of new...
View ArticleWilliam Lind describes 2 visions of America’s future
Summary: What will America look like in in 2025, after another decade of our long war? In the second of this series William Lind describes two scenarios, failed and successful responses to risks...
View ArticleThe Fed will use these power tools during the next big recession
Summary: Six years after the recession ended, we are due for another recession. Many experts say that the government is “out of bullets” to fight the next severe downturn. That’s quite false because...
View ArticleWhat Will the US Do in a Recession? Look to Japan for Answers…
Summary: In a previous article I listed the powerful tools the US government would deploy during the next recession. Today we discuss something more important: will they work? We can look to Japan for...
View ArticleThe Government Has A Clip Full Of Ammo To Fight The Next Recession
Summary: It’s time to prepare for a possible recession in 2016. The manufacturing slump continues to deepen. A toxic combo: high inventories in November and weak retail sales in December. In February...
View ArticleWhat to expect from the Trump years, and why.
Summary: The media overflow with hysterical predictions about the next four years, but few well-grounded visions. Here is a brief look at some of what we can expect, and why, and what these events...
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Four graphs showing a nation in decline. An unnecessary and easily fixed...
Tweet Summary: We mock China for their over investment in infrastructure. Gleaming new factories, high-speed trains, subways. Foolish ants. Exceptional America does it better. As a third in this...
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Understanding the new world shown us by Larry Summers
Tweet Summary: A weakness of my posts is that they don’t adequately convey the wonders of our time, the extraordinary events, the uncertainty of future outcomes. Today I attempt to show the amazing...
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Prepare now for a coming COVID-19 depression
Tweet Summary: A recession is certain. Unless the epidemic breaks soon, a depression seems likely. Lessons from history tell us how to fight it. But much of our experience is irrelevant and we must...
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